WASHINGTON, Nov 1 (KUNA) -- The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), the nationآ’s largest Muslim civil rights and advocacy organization, on Friday announced that the results of its latest and final poll of Muslim voter preferences in the 2024 presidential election show that 42% now favor Green Party nominee Jill Stein for president while 41% favor Vice President Kamala Harris.
This is a statistical tie similar to the 29% support each candidate received in CAIRآ’s late August survey.
CAIRآ’s poll of 1,449 verified Muslim voters conducted from Oct. 30 to Oct. 31 using a national voter file also shows that ten percent support former president Donald Trump (Republican Party), nearly the same as the 11% support he received in the August poll.
Only five percent of respondents currently do not plan to vote, almost no voters remain undecided, and one percent support Chase Oliver (Libertarian Party). Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.
"This final national poll of American Muslim voters confirms that our community members are deeply engaged in the 2024 election, with 95 percent saying they plan to turn out to vote, said Cair Government Affairs Director Robert S. McCaw, in a statement.
The poll, according to McCaw, also confirms that opposition to U.S. support for the war on Gaza continues to play a major role in influencing Muslim voter preferences. "Our message for American Muslims is simple: regardless of who you plan to support, it is essential that you turn out to vote. Do not sit on the sidelines. Make your voices heard and show the strength of our community in states across our nation," he appealed.
"Since CAIRآ’s last poll in late August, both Dr. Jill Stein and Vice President Harris have consolidated support among American Muslim voters and remain nearly tied at 42 percent and 41 percent while former president Donald Trumpآ’s support remains static at 10 percent, McCaw added.
The significant drop in support for major presidential candidates compared to 2020 and 2016 is almost certainly a result of community concerns regarding the genocide in Gaza.
"We encourage all presidential candidates to address the concerns of Muslim voters in these final days of the campaign, and we encourage all American Muslim voters to turn out regardless of who they support," he continued.
As the 2024 national general election approaches, Americaآ’s estimated 2.5 million Muslim voters are positioned to once again play a crucial role in shaping the political landscape. With their significant presence in key swing states, Muslim voters have the potential to influence the outcomes of not only the presidential race but also numerous congressional, state, and local elections. (end) rsr.rk